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Amaya’s strikeout rate is currently sits at 27.3%, which is just slightly above the Double-A league average of 25.5% but is significantly higher than what he has posted during any previous season.
And while it’s true that Amaya’s production has been worse this year than may have been expected from a top-five prospect, it’s helpful to compare those numbers to Amaya’s own production in past seasons to get a better sense for where they fit in his overall development. Similar to Pages, Jacob Amaya’s walk and strikeout rates are both right around league-average for Double-A, but without the power that Pages has been producing, Amaya’s season has been notably less impressive and has inspired significantly less fanfare. Combine the upside Pages has demonstrated in 2021 with the fact that he doesn’t turn 21 until December, and we’re looking at some very impressive numbers from a very young player who looks poised to make an impact on the Dodgers system. His 26% strikeout rate and 11% walk rate may seem unsavory, but both are in fact right around league-average (25.7% and 10.3%, respectively). Meanwhile, Andy Pages leads all of High-A with 15 home runs (the most of anyone in the Dodgers minor league system, and second-most in all of the minor leagues), and has the seventh highest wRC+ (141) for anyone in the league with at least 200 PA.
#Jacob amaya fangraphs free
The fact that Busch is holding down the keystone should be reassuring to the organization, as they prepare to potentially shuffle their middle-infield pieces around with Corey Seager’s impending free agency. His numbers at the dish are surely cause for concern, but more encouraging is his usage in the field he’s spent most of the season at second base. That his wRC+ is still above 100 can likely be credited to his walk rate, which is still a very impressive 15.5% (compared to a league-average of 10.1%). In his last seven games, Busch has struck out 15 times, including four three-strikeout games. Most troubling has been his strikeout rate, which is at 31.4%, well above the Double-A league average of 25.5%.
Unfortunately, in the 20 games since that peak, he’s only gotten two extra-base (both doubles), which has knocked his wRC+ down from 146 on May 27 to its current 112. In his first 20 games at Double-A, he hit six home runs and six doubles while walking 14.3% of the time, lending credence to his profile as a patient hitter with power potential. Michael Busch’s season started out strong. If this can be read as Ruiz improving his strike recognition and laying off pitches that his past self may have swung at for soft contact, then this is an important improvement, as it speaks to a more mature approach at the plate. His strikeout rate, however, is extremely low – only 12.4%, compared to the league average of 23.4%, which is the sixth best in all of Triple-A this year. Ruiz has an 11.7% walk rate, which is right around league average. After the first couple months of the minor league season, this has proven to be true, but the degree to which it’s true is what is of note. As such, we’d expect to see a low K-rate paired with a low walk-rate. Whenever Gray is deemed healthy enough to pitch, he’ll still likely be on a fast track to the major league roster.Įric’s December write-up made note of Keibert Ruiz’s penchant for swinging at pitches out of the zone, which he makes up for with his ability to make contact on those pitches. He hasn’t pitched since then, and according to team personnel, they’re wisely taking their time with his rehabilitation. But just a few days later, Gray made his first start at Triple-A and has been sidelined ever since with an arm injury of his own (shoulder impingement). Josiah Gray, the Dodgers’ top-ranked prospect who they acquired in the Yasiel Puig trade, seemed to be a likely option to replace Dustin May on the big-league roster when May was sidelined by Tommy John surgery at the beginning of the year. (Note: The stats in this article are updated through Monday, June 28).
#Jacob amaya fangraphs update
What follows is an update on the top-ranked players and best performers from that list, along with some previously unlisted prospects who’ve made a case for themselves to be included in prospect lists to come. Back in December, Eric Longenhagen compiled FanGraphs’ annual Dodgers Top Prospects List, identifying 51 noteworthy players in Los Angeles’ system.
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